Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Jumbo Loans, Its Getting Better

What makes a loan a Jumbo?
Jumbo loans are classified as a mortgage that is above $417,000 in most areas of Texas. Before the shakeup in the mortgage industry that was the limit for all of the US. So if you lived in many parts of the East or West coast, a high percentage of the mortgages were in the Jumbo category. In 2008 Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac put increased the limit in “high cost” areas. Currently in many parts of California you can get a conventional loan for over $700,000. This is all based on the median house price in a given area.

A quick history of Jumbo loans
Any loan that is not insured by Fannie, Freddie, HUD, or VA is considered a non-conforming or portfolio loan. That means that the lender is holding that loan in their portfolio and it is not backed by a government entity. Up until 2007 many different loans were included in the term non-conforming loans. This included Subprime, Alt-A, and Jumbo loans. These loans were packaged up, securitized, and sold on Wall Street. In many cases there would be 25 to 30% of jumbo loans in these packages, the rest were subprime loans. When everyone came to the realization that many of the subprime loans were over-leveraged or non-performing, then the jumbo loans were unfairly thrown into the same category. Then the credit crunch came along. Most lenders and banks began to horde cash and not loan money. Subprime and Alt A loans were gone almost overnight and jumbo loans were not backed by any government entity. So they had a similar fate. While many of the subprime loans were done with 0 down payment and poor credit, most jumbo loans still required a 5 to 20 percent down payment and above average credit. Currently the default rates on jumbo loans done in the last 5 years are lower than almost any other type of loan done in the same period. However because the investors that bought jumbo loans have been holding on to their cash, the market for those loans has been almost non-existent for the last 18 months. For the last 10 years jumbo loans required a bigger down payment and carried an interest rate from .25% to .50% higher than a conventional loan. That all changed in 2008, for the few lenders that would still buy a jumbo loan they were charging between 1.5% and 2% more than conventional loans. This has created big problems on the housing market in the upper end of price ranges. Because of this short supply and expensive financing the luxury home market has been reliant on buyers that could pay cash for these properties. That limits a large segment of potential buyers.

Current Jumbo Loan Market
However things have started to loosen up, some lenders are realizing the hole in the market and are starting to finance jumbo loans again. Today I can offer a customer with good credit and a 20% down payment a jumbo loan in the low 6’s on a 30 year fixed loan. While many lenders don’t have this product we do. If you know anyone that could benefit from this information please pass along my information.

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Rate Update

Stocks are up this morning as President Obama has reappointed Ben Bernanke as Fed Chief. This has helped stabilize the markets, investors don’t like to see changes at the top of the Fed. Bonds are down a little as stocks go up.

Also more reports were released today that showed home pricing increasing for the second straight month.

I recommend floating today, and will let you know if things change.

Also please tune in later today for my update on Jumbo loans, there have been some changes that will help the higher end of our market.

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Friday, August 21, 2009

Rate Update

After three days good days this week, Mortgage Bonds are headed in the wrong direction. As we talked about last week, we have hit this level a number of times and have yet to go below it.

The cause of this was Existing Home Sales which came in better than expected, as the housing market continues to show positive signs. While this is good news on an economic front, it also shows signs of inflation which is the enemy of interest rates.

I recommend locking and will keep you updated on any changes.

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Friday, August 14, 2009

Rate Update and Big Mortgage News

Bonds and mortgage rates have had a wild day. This morning the CPI (Consumer Price Index) fell 2.1%. This is great news for inflation and for rates. However we are back to that floor that we have hit so many times this year. Once that floor was reached rates started to go back up.

In other news Colonial Bank has been seized by the FDIC and its assets will be sold to BB&T. This will have huge implications as Colonial had many different interests in the mortgage business.

This is a great time to lock in a low interest rate.

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Monday, August 10, 2009

Rate Update

Rates are experiencing a little recovery of last weeks losses. Stocks are down which is fueling this rally. The big news of the week will be the Fed Policy announcement on Wednesday, however the Treasury auction will have the biggest effect.

I recommend floating today and will keep you updated as things change.

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Friday, August 7, 2009

Rate Update

We are starting to see a run of financial numbers that show we are starting to recover from the recession. Today it was the Jobs report, coming in better than expectations and Unemployment dropping as well.

This isn’t good news for mortgage bonds, however it is good for the overall economy.

I recommend locking today, as we have broken thru a ceiling on interest rates.

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Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Rate Update

Interest rates have gone up .25% in the last two days. Thanks to some good economic news and a positive run by the stock market.

Today the big surprise was the Pending Home Sales, the number was up considerably from expectations. Also inflation looks like it is staying in a good range, so that isn’t a concern at this point.

I recommend locking as I did last week.

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